Travel and Leisure Stocks
About Travel and Leisure Stocks
This is discretionary spending in its purest form, so the whole group gets sold hard whenever a recession looks likely and rallies violently when it does not arrive. It is also where the asset-light versus asset-heavy distinction matters more than anywhere else in the market.
The hotel brands mostly do not own hotels. They collect a fee tied to room revenue under management and franchise contracts running a decade or more, which is a high-margin, low-capital annuity that has compounded beautifully. The property owners take the renovation costs and the empty nights. Two hotel companies reporting identical occupancy can be completely different investments.
Cruise lines are the opposite and worth treating with care. They own the ships, carry heavy debt against them, and were nearly wiped out when sailing stopped entirely, leaving a share count and a debt load that dilution has not undone. Casinos live on licenses that are hard to obtain, which is a real moat, though regional properties and destination resorts depend on completely different customers. Online travel agencies hold no inventory at all and their biggest cost is buying customer attention from search engines.
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